Professional Betting Intelligence

Find mispriced numbers before the market closes — across every sport.

A multi-layer ML pipeline that converts model probability, fair price, and line movement into a daily board. One subscription covers every sport that goes live. No spreadsheets. No guesswork.

Scanning 12 games · 4 playable edges live
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NYY ML +5.7%·LAD/SD O8.5 +4.1%·OKC O218.5 +4.7%·PHI ML +2.3%·EDM O6 +3.9%·TOR/BOS U5.5 +2.7%·IND ML +3.1%·HOU/TEX U7.5 +1.2%·VGK ML +5.1%·SF/COL O9 +3.8%·DET ML −0.4%·TOR ML +4.6%·NYY ML +5.7%·LAD/SD O8.5 +4.1%·OKC O218.5 +4.7%·PHI ML +2.3%·EDM O6 +3.9%·TOR/BOS U5.5 +2.7%·IND ML +3.1%·HOU/TEX U7.5 +1.2%·VGK ML +5.1%·SF/COL O9 +3.8%·DET ML −0.4%·TOR ML +4.6%·

Free Pick of the Day

One ML-driven pick posted every morning — edge vs Pinnacle shown, every result publicly graded. Building a track record in the open.

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Select Your Sport

Live now — more coming
MLBLIVE

Baseball

Live

XGBoost + LightGBM ensemble across SP ERA, bullpen usage, park factors, and weather. Bivariate NB totals model. CLV tracking on every graded bet.

5,459 games trained53 features2 models must agree
Open MLB Board
NHLLIVE

Hockey

Live

Dixon-Coles Bivariate NB goals model. NB props engine for shots on goal. Regulation win probability, power play rate, and form multipliers baked in.

3 full seasonsBivariate NB totalsSOG props NB r=3.25
Open NHL Board
NCAABCOMING SOON

College Basketball

KenPom-style efficiency ratings, tempo-adjusted scoring, and conference strength adjustments. Early access for active subscribers.

300+ teamsAdjusted efficiencyTempo modeling
NBALIVE

Basketball

Live

XGBoost win probability + Normal distribution totals model (σ=13.5 pts). Mixed-distribution props engine. Spread, ML, and O/U edges with CLV tracking.

30 teamsNormal totals modelML + Spread + Props
Open NBA Board

Under the Hood

The same engine powers every sport
Each sport gets its own sport-specific model — but the edge calculation, calibration framework, CLV tracking, and Kelly sizing are shared infrastructure across the platform.
2+
AI models must agree
XGBoost + LightGBM
NB
Totals model
Bivariate Negative Binomial
0-vig
Edge calculation
Juice stripped before compare
CLV
Closing line value
Tracked on every graded bet
0.25×
Kelly sizing applied
Optimal bankroll math
Live
Line drift alerts
Board state updates in real time

Two Models, One Signal

XGBoost + LightGBM ensemble

Two completely independent machine learning algorithms trained on the same data. Their probability outputs are combined by a stacking model that learns the optimal weight for each.
When both models agree, confidence is higher — that is where HIGH tier picks come from.

Probability Calibration

Percentages that actually hold up

After training, every model goes through isotonic calibration — a validation step that ensures stated probabilities match real-world hit rates. When the model says 62%, it has historically been right around 62% of the time.
Calibration error validated across thousands of games per sport.

Closing Line Value

The benchmark sharp bettors use

Every pick is tracked against where the line closes. Beating the closing line long-term is the most accepted proof of genuine model edge — it means the market moved toward your position after you got your number.
CLV is displayed on every graded bet in your performance history.

Walk-Forward Backtesting

No peeking at the future

Results are validated using a monthly expanding window — the model is retrained each month using only data that existed before that period. This eliminates lookahead bias, the most common way sports model results get inflated.
Backtested as if deployed live — no hindsight baked in.

Edge Calculation

No-vig — the house cut is stripped first

Every sportsbook bakes a profit margin into their lines. Before comparing model probability to the market, the overround is mathematically removed from both sides. Edge is calculated against the true fair line, not the inflated retail price.
A raw 4% edge against a -110 line is only about 1.6% real edge. Most tools do not account for this.

Bet Sizing

Kelly Criterion — the math of optimal sizing

Kelly Criterion calculates the mathematically optimal fraction of your bankroll to wager given your edge and the odds. Quarter-Kelly (25% of full Kelly) is applied as a conservative, variance-reducing version used by professional bettors and quantitative traders.
A 7% edge bet gets automatically sized larger than a 3% edge bet. Sizing is shown in units and dollars on every pick card.
Edge Pro is informational analytics software only. It does not guarantee outcomes, profit, or the accuracy of any market or model signal.